Cyclonic Storm THANE over southwest and adjoining southeast Bay of Bengal

Bulletin No. BOB 05/2011/17

Dated: 28.12. 2011 Time of issue:0730 hours IST

Sub : Cyclonic Storm THANE over southwest and adjoining southeast Bay of Bengal:-Cyclone alert for north Tamilnadu and south Andhra Pradesh coast : Yellow Message


The cyclonic storm THANE over southwest and adjoining southeast Bay of Bengal remained practically stationary and lay centered at 0530 hrs IST of today, the 28th December 2011 near latitude 12.50N and longitude 86.00E, about 600 km east-southeast of Chennai (Tamilnadu), 650 km northeast of Trincomalee (Srilanka) and 700 km west-northwest of Port Blair (Andaman & Nicobar Island). The system is likely to move west-northwestwards slowly, intensify into a severe cyclonic storm during next 24 hrs and cross north Tamil Nadu and south Andhra Pradesh coasts between Cuddalore and Nellore around morning of 30th December 2011.





Based on latest analysis with NWP models and other conventional techniques, estimated track and intensity of the system are given in the Table below:
Date/Time(IST)
Position (lat. 0N/ long. 0E)
Sustained maximum surface wind speed (kmph)
Intensity
28-12-2011/0530
12.5/86.0
80-90 gusting to 100
Cyclonic Storm
28-12-2011/1130
12.7/85.5
85-95 gusting to 100
Severe Cyclonic Storm
28-12-2011/1730
12.9/85.0
90-100 gusting to 110
Severe Cyclonic Storm
28-12-2011/2330
13.1/84.5
95-105 gusting to 120
Severe Cyclonic Storm
29-12-2011/0530
13.3/84.0
100-110 gusting to 125
Severe Cyclonic Storm
29-12-2011/1730
13.3/83.0
100-110 gusting to 125
Severe Cyclonic Storm
30-12-2011/0530
13.3/81.5
95-105 gusting to 120
Severe Cyclonic Storm
30-12-2011/1730
13.2/79.5
80-90 gusting to 100
Cyclonic Storm
31-12-2011/0530
13.0/78.5
45-55 gusting to 65
Deep Depression

Under the influence of this system, rainfall at most places with isolated heavy rainfall is likely to commence over north Tamil Nadu & Puducherry and south coastal Andhra Pradesh from tomorrow the 29th December 2011 onwards.

Squally winds speed reaching 45-55 kmph likely to commence along and off north Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and south Andhra Pradesh coasts from tomorrow morning the 29th December 2011 onwards.
Sea condition will be high to very high around the system centre. Sea condition will be rough to very rough along and off north Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and south Andhra Pradesh coasts from tomorrow onwards.
Fishermen along north Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & south Andhra Pradesh coasts are advised not to venture into sea. Those who are out at sea are advised to return to the coast.

Damage expected from tomorrow the 29th December 2011 onwards(over north coastal Tamil Nadu and south coastal Andhra Pradesh): Extensive damage to thatched roof and huts. Minor damage to power and communication line due to uprooting of large avenue trees. Flooding of escape routes.

Action suggested (over north coastal Tamil Nadu and south coastal Andhra Pradesh): Total suspension of fishing operations. Coastal hutment dwellers to be moved to safer place. People in affected areas to remain indoors.
The next bulletin will be issued at 1130 hrs IST of today the 28th December, 2011.


Read in detail at :- http://www.cdrn.org.in